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2024-12-13 04:32:47

Huaxi Securities Interpretation of the Political Bureau Meeting in December: The policy strength showed an upward trend. The Huaxi Securities Research Report pointed out that the release signal of this meeting was positive. Judging from the significant strength of Hong Kong stocks and A50 futures, the content of the meeting greatly exceeded previous market expectations. There are mainly the following aspects: First, the policy tone is more positive. "Strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment", which is used to describe countercyclical adjustment for the first time, reflects the upward trend of policy strength. The policy of this year's two sessions is expressed as "strengthening countercyclical and cross-cyclical adjustment of macro policies", the Politburo meeting in July "strengthening countercyclical adjustment" and the Politburo meeting in September "strengthening countercyclical adjustment". From the point of view of change, it gradually turns to counter-cycle instead of cross-cycle, and the intensity is constantly upgrading. Create a follow-up policy for the market that may continue to be introduced until the economy stabilizes and rebounds. At the same time, the meeting did not mention "coordinating the expansion of domestic demand and deepening the structural reform of the supply side", but directly mentioned the expansion of domestic demand, which is also a manifestation of facing the problem more directly and attaching importance to the demand side. Second, as far as finance and money are concerned, this meeting mentioned "implementing a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy", and the modifier "more" was added in front of the active fiscal policy. A similar expression was found in the Politburo meeting in April 2020, "The active fiscal policy should be more active and promising", and then in May, the two sessions formulated a large-scale fiscal combination boxing (deficit ratio 3.6%+, 3.75 trillion new special debts and 1 trillion special national debts). The third is to stabilize the property market and write the stock market into the 2025 goal. The fourth is to pay attention to consumption. The meeting mentioned "vigorously boosting consumption, improving investment efficiency and expanding domestic demand in all directions". It is expected that the policy of promoting consumption will make a breakthrough in scale and direction. Fifth, the meeting also mentioned science and technology (to lead the development of new quality productive forces with scientific and technological innovation and build a modern industrial system), green (to jointly promote carbon reduction, pollution reduction and green growth, and accelerate the overall green transformation of economic and social development) and foreign trade. Emphasizing science and technology, it is clear that the direction of future policy is in the industrial direction led by science and technology. At the same time, for green, because next year is the last year of the 14 th Five-Year Plan, emission reduction and other targets need to be completed. In terms of foreign trade and foreign investment, the meeting mentioned that "it is necessary to expand high-level opening to the outside world and stabilize foreign trade and foreign investment".New york cocoa futures on the Intercontinental Exchange jumped more than 4% to $10,271 a ton.German Finance Minister: We should discuss the specific ideas of European defense. We want specific ideas, not Eurobonds.


German Finance Minister: We should discuss the specific ideas of European defense. We want specific ideas, not Eurobonds.The third batch of CSI A 500 ETFs under Rongtong, Puyin AXA and Yongying was approved and will be released soon. Less than two weeks after the report, the third batch of CSI A 500 ETFs got the approval. The reporter learned from the industry that the CSI A500ETF of many fund companies, including Rongtong Fund, Puyin AXA Fund, Yongying Fund, Haifutong Fund and Galaxy Fund, got the approval. Previously, nine fund companies reported the product. So far, more than 50 Public Offering of Fund managers have reported 107 products related to the CSI A500 Index. After excluding the linked funds, 22 CSI A500ETF have been issued and listed, with a current market scale of nearly 220 billion; Twenty-two products in CSI A500 index increase products have been approved for issuance; In addition, nearly 20 CSI A500 index products have been approved.Bitcoin hit $98,000/piece, down 3.12% in the day.


Market news: Putin will extend the permission of some Russian companies not to consider voting by shareholders from unfriendly countries until the end of 2025. The main contract of Shanghai Bank expanded to 2.00% in the day, and it is now reported at 7933.00 yuan/kg.

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